Accounting and Auditing Studies

Accounting and Auditing Studies

Impact of Partitioning Accruals on their Ability to Forecast Future Firm Value

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 Ph.D. Student in Accounting, Department of Accounting, Economy and accounting faculty , Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
2 Prof ,Department of Accounting, Economy and accounting faculty, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
10.22034/iaas.2024.211393
Abstract
One of the most attractive peiece of  financial information that can be provided to economic actors and those who are present in capital markets is the data which are related to future value of companies because the holder of this type of information is able to achieve economic goals through planning and making appropriate decisions. Holder of such information in competitive sharemarkets  will be able to act better rather than  other competitors. Accruals are one of the most frequently used factors to predict the above items, the  role of accruals in explaining value of the company has long been proven. In the continuation of these researches, new researches seek to study the new aspects of this prediction capability and increase the accuracy of this type of predictions. The present study follows the effect of separating accruals based on their role in the cash flow alignment on their ability to predict future firm value. In this study, accruals will be divided into two categories: accruals whose cash flow will be created after their economic factor and the second category is accruals whose cash flow  preceedes before their cashmic factor. The idea was first mooted by Barth et al In 2016. A total of 184 companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange and OTC in the period 2007-2019 were surveyed. Finally, empirical evidence doesn’t confirm the main premise of the paper that the separation of accruals based on their role in cash flow alignment increases their ability to predict the company's earning and value in a large number of industries. According to what was mentioned, our results are not very consistent with the results of the research of Barth et al. (2016), which showed that the separation of accruals based on their role in the cash balance leads to an increase in their ability to explain and predict the value of  the company. It should be noted that the difference between the conditions of Tehran Stock Exchange and other capital markets in the world can play an important role in the results of this research.
Keywords

  1. بزرگ اصل، موسی، صالح‌زاده، بیستون، (1393)، "توانایی مدیریت و کیفیت اقلام تعهدیدانش حسابداری، سال پنجم شماره 17 تابستان 1393، 119-140
  2. پناهیان، حسین، شفیعی نیک آبادی، هادی، (1395)، "بررسی مقایسه‌ای توانایی اطلاعات گزارش شده اولیه و تجدید ارائه شده در پیش‌بینی جریان‌های نقدی آتی"، مجله پژوهشهای تجربی حسابداری سال پنجم شماره 20 تابستان 1395، 133-160
  3. تنانی، محسن، نصرتی، سعید، (1402)، " نوسانات سود و تاخیر در گزارش حسابرسی"، مجله مطالعات حسابداری و حسابرسی، انجمن حسابداری ایران، شماره 45، بهار 1402 صص 105-124
  4. جعفری، علی، منصوری خواه، مصطفی، پورآقاخان، عباسعلی، (1402)، " پیش بینی بازده سهام با تاکید بر نقش معیارهای مالی و نظارتی با استفاده از روشهای یادگیری ماشین"، مجله مطالعات حسابداری و حسابرسی، انجمن حسابداری ایران، شماره 45، بهار 1402 صص 125-146
  5. ثقفی، علی، محمدی، امیر، (1396)، "بهبود سنجش کیفیت اقلام تعهدی"، پژوهشهای تجربی حسابداری، دوره7، شماره 1، صص 1-14
  6. رضا یار، علی، علی نژاد، محمود، (1392)، اقتصاد سنجی مالی با رویکرد مدلسازی، سری‌های زمانی، شبکه‌های عصبی و پانل دیتا، چاپ اول، تهران، نشر ناقوس.
 
  1. مراد‌زاده فرد، مهدی، علی پوردرویشی، زهرا، نظری، هماد، (1392)، "بررسی خطای پیش بینی سود مدیریت و محتوای اطلاعاتی اقلام تعهدی در شرکت های پذیرفته شده بورس اوراق بهادار تهران"، دانش حسابداری و حسابرسی مدیریت، سال دوم شماره 7 پاییز 1392، صفحه 15-28
  2. نوروش، ایرج، صفری گرایلی، مهدی، مؤمنی یانسری، ابوالفضل، (1395)، "کیفیت سود و ارزش شرکت: شواهدی از شرکت‌های ایرانی"، پژوهشهای حسابداری مالی، دوره7، شماره4، زمستان 1394، ص 1-18

9.       ﻫﺎﺷﻤﻲ، ﺳﻴﺪﻋﺒﺎس، ﺻﻤﺪی، ﺳﻌﻴﺪ، ﺳﺮوش ﻳﺎر، اﻓﺴﺎﻧﻪ، (1389)، "ارزﯾﺎﺑﯽ ﺗﻮاﻧﻤﻨﺪی اﺟﺰای ﻧﻘﺪی و ﺗﻌﻬﺪی ﺳﻮد در ﭘﯿﺶ ﺑﯿﻨﯽ ﺳﻮد ﻏﯿﺮﻋﺎدی و ﺗﻌﯿﯿﻦ ارزش ﺷﺮﮐﺖ ﻫﺎی ﭘﺬﯾﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺷﺪه در ﺑﻮرس اوراق ﺑﻬﺎدار ﺗﻬﺮان"، ﻣﺠﻠﻪ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﻫﺎی ﺣﺴﺎﺑﺪاری ﻣﺎﻟﯽ، سال دوم، شماره اول، شماره پیاپی3، بهار 1389، صص 93-112

  1. Barth, Mary E, and Beaver, William H, and Hand, John R M(1999), "Accruals, Cash Flows, and Equity Values", The Accounting Review,vol76 No1, Pages 27–58
  2. Barth, Mary E, and Beaver, William H, and Hand, John R M(2005), "Accruals, Accounting-Based Valuation Models, and the Prediction of Equity Values", Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance, vol20. Issue 4, Pages 311-345
  3. Barth, Mary E, and Clinch, Greg, and Israeli Doron, (2016), " What Do Accruals Tell Us About Future Cash Flows?", Review of Accounting Studies, September 2016, Vol. 21, Issue 3, Pages 768-807
  4. Barth, Mary E, and Cram, Donald P, and Karen K, (2001), " Accruals and the Prediction of Future Cash Flows", Review of Accounting Studies, September 2016, Vol. 21, Issue 3, Pages 768-807
  5. Callen, Jeffery L, and Segal, Dan, and Andreou, Andreas, (2004), "Do Accruals Drive Firm–Level Stock Returns?A Variance Decomposition Analysis ", Journal of Accounting Research, Volume 42(3). Pages 527-560
  6. Dechow, Patricia, (1994), " Accounting earnings and cash flows as measures of firm performance The role of accounting accruals", Journal of Accounting and Economics, 18, (1994), Pages 3-42
  7. Dichev, Ilia, D, and Dechow, Patricia, (2002), "The Quality of Accruals and Earnings: The Role of Accrual Estimation Errors", The Accounting Review, Vol. 77, Supplement: Quality of Earnings Conference, Pages 35-59
  8. Du, Qingjie, and Wang, Yang, and Wei, K.C. John, (2020), " Does cash-based operating profitability explain the accruals anomaly in China?", Pacific-BasinFinanceJournal;Accepted20April2020, www.elsevier.com/locate/pacfin
  9. Elend, Lars, and Tideman, Sebastian A, and Lopatta, Kerstin, and Kramer, Oliver, (2020), " Earnings Prediction with Deep Leaning", In book: KI 2020: Advances in Artificial Intelligence, 43rd German Conference on AI, Bamberg, Germany, September 21–25, 2020, Proceedings , Pages 267-274
  10. Hirdinis, M, (2019), " Capital Structure and Firm Size on Firm Value Moderated by Profitability", International Journal of Economics and Business Administration Volume VII, Issue 1, 2019, Pages 174-191
  11. Husain, T, And Sarwani, And Sunardi, Nardi and Lisdawati, (2020)"Firm's Value Prediction Based on Profitability Ratios and Dividend Policy", Finance & Economics Review, Vol. 2 No. 2 (2020): pages13-26.
  12. Liu, cheng cheng, And Li, Qing, And Lin, Yu-En, (2023), Corporate transparency and firm value: Does market competition play an external governance role?, Journal of Contemporary Accounting & Economics, Volume 19, Issue 1, April 2023
  13. Nallareddy, Suresh, And Sethuraman, Mani and, Venkatachalam, Mohan, (2020), " Changes in accrual properties and operating environment: Implications for cash flow predictability", Journal of Accounting and Economics, 2020, vol. 69, issue 2 pages113-139
  14. NAM,  Hye-Jeongm, (2019), "The Effect of Earnings Quality on Financial Analysts’ Dividend Forecast Accuracy: Evidence from Korea" Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business Vol 6 No 4 (2019), Pages 91-98
  15. Nam, Seunghan, (2019), " The Role of Accruals in the Prediction of Future Earnings" Journal of Accounting and Finance, 19(7) 2019. Pages 164-188
  16. Oh Il Hyung, Penman, Stephen, (2020), "The Accruals-Cash Flow Relation and the Evaluation of Accrual Accounting", https: //papers.ssrn.com
  17. Renders, Annelies,And Smeets, Britt,And Vanstraelen, Ann, And Vorst, Patrick, (2022), " Auditor Industry Specialists and the Ability of Accruals to Predict Future Cash Flows", https: //papers.ssrn.com
  18. Zuhroh, Idah , (2019), " The Effects of Liquidity, Firm Size, and Profitability on the Firm Value with Mediating Leverage ", The 2nd International Conference on Islamic Economics, Business, and Philanthropy (ICIEBP) Theme: “Sustainability and Socio Economic Growth” Volume 2019m pages 203-230